Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.696914 0.814536 0.943794 1.096084 1.270295 1.463044 1.692131
2024-12-22 0.480060 0.628783 0.809196 1.042857 1.336028 1.690119 2.148436
2024-12-29 0.366268 0.533337 0.755271 1.068333 1.494617 2.050276 2.823963
2025-01-05 0.283896 0.456696 0.706472 1.087436 1.645786 2.424415 3.579910
2025-01-12 0.226787 0.400388 0.671681 1.115931 1.811396 2.840810 4.455839
2025-01-19 0.185974 0.358137 0.647305 1.152516 1.991707 3.301392 5.459026
2025-01-26 0.152579 0.319213 0.618819 1.174850 2.150241 3.747627 6.497745
2025-02-02 0.137082 0.308506 0.635598 1.275093 2.450326 4.454915 8.035771
2025-02-09 0.116034 0.281239 0.615901 1.305043 2.630961 4.984290 9.341215
2025-02-16 0.094836 0.247746 0.576635 1.289605 2.724488 5.371547 10.444411
2025-02-23 0.074359 0.209898 0.519871 1.227747 2.718110 5.575176 11.240274
2025-03-02 0.062110 0.188156 0.492860 1.221876 2.819332 5.986836 12.457113
2025-03-09 0.049897 0.163557 0.455682 1.191125 2.873980 6.334119 13.630335
2025-03-16 0.038140 0.136202 0.405407 1.120888 2.834455 6.493811 14.468656
2025-03-23 0.032477 0.124900 0.393344 1.140303 2.999011 7.095485 16.269614
2025-03-30 0.027610 0.114335 0.380678 1.155864 3.157821 7.706253 18.162335
2025-04-06 0.023891 0.106246 0.373002 1.183106 3.349442 8.412828 20.338201
2025-04-13 0.020981 0.099947 0.369067 1.219914 3.570936 9.213329 22.804974
2025-04-20 0.018165 0.092819 0.360666 1.242354 3.759277 9.960000 25.231329
2025-04-27 0.017350 0.093688 0.378792 1.347089 4.181447 11.305545 29.150058
2025-05-04 0.015249 0.088016 0.373143 1.378143 4.408294 12.205841 32.127186
2025-05-11 0.012738 0.079191 0.353753 1.361676 4.500037 12.784198 34.404182
2025-05-18 0.010050 0.067954 0.321789 1.296546 4.440917 12.974897 35.768424